Somersetvs
Ulverstone U21
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 6/27/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulverstone U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4
Somerset are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Ulverstone U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone U21 hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulverstone U21
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
6.9%
Ulverstone U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 15 · avg 3.20/3.00
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00