GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/15/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Lowconfidence

Somerset are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Northern Rangers are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 7.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 32.6-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 79.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

68.7%

Model confidence

7.4%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SomersetLWLWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Northern RangersWWWWW

GF 35 · GA 7 · avg 7.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
SomersetNorthern Rangers
78.4Attack100.0
25.5Defence56.9
45.1Form94.1
47.0Power79.6
2.13xG4.50
View match centre →