GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Somerset are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Launceston United U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 6.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.9% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Somerset

Probability

75.9%

Model confidence

75.9%

Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SomersetWDLDW

GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Launceston United U21DLLLL

GF 3 · GA 32 · avg 0.60/6.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
SomersetLaunceston United U21
74.1Attack28.1
9.3Defence0.0
42.6Form14.0
39.4Power15.8
4.50xG1.61
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