SomersetvsLaunceston U21

Somerset are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Launceston U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston U21 hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.