Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Solothurn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Solothurn are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Luzern II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Solothurn hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Solothurn holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Solothurn
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Solothurn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40