GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Norra · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sollentuna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sollentuna are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Järfälla are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sollentuna hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Ettan - Norra, while Sollentuna holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sollentuna

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

10.0%

Sollentuna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SollentunaLDLWD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
JärfällaLLDLL

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SollentunaJärfälla
62.2Attack50.0
52.2Defence50.0
51.1Form50.0
55.2Power50.0
2.12xG1.35
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