GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 7/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sol de Mayo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Villa Mitre are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Villa Mitre hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sol de MayoLLWDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Villa MitreWDWWD

GF 6 · GA 0 · avg 1.20/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Sol de MayoVilla Mitre
33.3Attack28.1
57.9Defence80.7
36.8Form47.4
45.3Power53.8
0.47xG0.67
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