Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Sogndal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Stabaek are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Stabaek hold a 33.3-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.5% in the 1. Division, while Stabaek holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
80.5%
Model confidence
80.5%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20