Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egersund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Sogndal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Egersund are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Egersund hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the 1. Division, while Egersund holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Egersund
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Egersund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60