Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bryne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sogndal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Bryne are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bryne hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the 1. Division, while Bryne holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bryne
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Bryne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20