Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sogndal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Sogndal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bjarg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sogndal hold a 28.8-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 6.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sogndal holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sogndal
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Sogndal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80