Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sogndal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Sogndal are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Asane are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sogndal hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 34.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the 1. Division, while Sogndal holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sogndal
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Sogndal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80