Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sogdiana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sogdiana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Xorazm are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.9 against 43.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Super League, while Sogdiana holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sogdiana
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Sogdiana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40