GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Super League · 4/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sogdiana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sogdiana are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Kokand-1912 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sogdiana hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the Super League, while Sogdiana holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sogdiana

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

55.8%

Sogdiana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SogdianaLDLLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kokand-1912WDLLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SogdianaKokand-1912
58.8Attack27.1
31.4Defence50.0
41.2Form25.0
44.9Power36.7
1.94xG0.99
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