SogdianavsChelyabinsk

Sogdiana are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chelyabinsk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Chelyabinsk hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sogdiana holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.