Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sogdiana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sogdiana are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bunyodkor are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.9 against 43.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Super League, while Sogdiana holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sogdiana
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Sogdiana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40