Sochauxvs
Saint Etienne
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 8/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saint Etienne · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sochaux are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Saint Etienne are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Saint Etienne hold a 52.2-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the Ligue 2, while Saint Etienne holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Saint Etienne
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
12.5%
Saint Etienne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60