Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sochaux · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sochaux are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Grenoble are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Grenoble hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 65.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sochaux holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sochaux
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Sochaux has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60