Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sochaux · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sochaux are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dijon are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dijon hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 74.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sochaux holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sochaux
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
10.9%
Sochaux has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40