Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sochaux · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sochaux are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Auxerre are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Auxerre hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sochaux holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sochaux
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Sochaux has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20