GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

São Luiz are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Santa Catarina are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Catarina hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

São LuizDLLLD

GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Santa CatarinaWLLDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
São LuizSanta Catarina
35.4Attack47.2
66.7Defence69.4
43.8Form58.3
50.8Power60.1
0.68xG0.89
View match centre →