São LuizvsGuarany de Bagé

São Luiz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Guarany de Bagé are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and São Luiz hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 24.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.1% in the Serie D, while São Luiz holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.