Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
São Luiz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cianorte are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.8 against 50.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40