Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
São Luiz are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cascavel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.8 against 52.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00