Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
São Luiz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Blumenau are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Blumenau hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00