São João Vervs
Fafe
SCHEDULEDPortugal · Liga 3 · 8/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
São João Ver are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fafe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fafe hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (46.9 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Liga 3, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80