GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Rio · 8/5/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

São Gonçalo EC RJ are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sampaio Corrêa RJ hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Copa Rio, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

São Gonçalo EC RJDWWDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sampaio Corrêa RJWWLDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
São Gonçalo EC RJSampaio Corrêa RJ
27.8Attack33.3
77.8Defence100.0
50.0Form83.3
55.0Power75.3
0.69xG0.69
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