GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Rio · 6/17/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

São Cristóvão RJ · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

São Cristóvão RJ are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CEAC / Araruama are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and São Cristóvão RJ hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 28.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Copa Rio, while São Cristóvão RJ holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

São Cristóvão RJ

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

São Cristóvão RJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

São Cristóvão RJLLDDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CEAC / AraruamaLDDDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
São Cristóvão RJCEAC / Araruama
16.7Attack8.3
83.3Defence50.0
33.3Form16.7
48.3Power28.0
1.17xG0.68
View match centre →