São BernardovsPonte Preta

São Bernardo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ponte Preta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and São Bernardo hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 28.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.3% in the Serie B, while São Bernardo holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.