GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 8/14/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

São Bernardo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

São Bernardo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Botafogo SP are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and São Bernardo hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the Serie B, while São Bernardo holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

São Bernardo

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

15.3%

São Bernardo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

São BernardoWLLDD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Botafogo SPWLWDD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
São BernardoBotafogo SP
49.2Attack41.3
61.9Defence65.1
47.6Form42.9
54.3Power51.1
1.12xG0.85
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