Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Smorgon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Volna are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Volna hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 56.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the 1. Division, while Volna holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Volna
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
11.0%
Volna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00