Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gomel II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Smorgon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gomel II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gomel II hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the 1. Division, while Gomel II holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gomel II
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Gomel II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40