GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valmiera / BSS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Mediumconfidence

Smiltene are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Valmiera / BSS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and valmiera / BSS hold a 55.1-point power-rating edge (26.5 v 81.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely result in the 1. Liga, favouring Valmiera / BSS with 14.0% confidence, a 48% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valmiera / BSS

Probability

91.7%

Model confidence

14.0%

Valmiera / BSS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SmilteneWLWLL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Valmiera / BSSWWWLW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
39.6Attack91.7
10.4Defence70.8
20.8Form85.4
26.5Power81.6
0.66xG4.50
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