GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 7/25/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Smiltene · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Smiltene are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Rīgas FS II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 26.5 against 26.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the 1. Liga, while Smiltene holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Smiltene

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Smiltene has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SmilteneWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rīgas FS IILDLWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SmilteneRīgas FS II
39.6Attack45.8
10.4Defence6.3
20.8Form25.0
26.5Power26.6
2.25xG2.23
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