Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Smedby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Smedby are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Haninge are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 59.8 against 58.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Smedby holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Smedby
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Smedby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60