Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slonim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Slonim are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Smorgon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Slonim hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the 1. Division, while Slonim holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Slonim
Probability
68.1%
Model confidence
12.0%
Slonim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20