Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Slonim are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Niva are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Niva hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the 1. Division, while Niva holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Niva
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Niva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60