GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Slivnishki geroy are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Botev Ihtiman are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Botev Ihtiman hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Third League - Southwest, favouring a draw with 11.4% confidence, a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.4%

Model confidence

11.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Slivnishki geroyLLDWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Botev IhtimanLWWDL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Slivnishki geroyBotev Ihtiman
50.0Attack66.7
16.7Defence33.3
0.0Form50.0
26.7Power53.0
1.51xG1.74
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