Sligo Roversvs
Kerry
SCHEDULEDIreland · FAI Cup · 8/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sligo Rovers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Sligo Rovers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kerry are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sligo Rovers hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the FAI Cup, while Sligo Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sligo Rovers
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
9.4%
Sligo Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20