GGOALVIO

Ireland · FAI Cup · 8/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sligo Rovers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Sligo Rovers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kerry are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sligo Rovers hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the FAI Cup, while Sligo Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sligo Rovers

Probability

57.9%

Model confidence

9.4%

Sligo Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sligo RoversLDDWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KerryLWWWD

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Sligo RoversKerry
100.0Attack66.7
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form33.3
97.0Power45.3
2.40xG1.38
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