Sligo Roversvs
Dundalk
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 4/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundalk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sligo Rovers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dundalk are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundalk hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (35.9 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Premier Division, while Dundalk holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dundalk
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20