Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Smedby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sleipner are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Smedby are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Smedby hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Smedby holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Smedby
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
8.5%
Smedby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80