Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sleipner · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Sleipner are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Karlslund are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sleipner hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Sleipner holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sleipner
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
9.6%
Sleipner has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80