Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sleipner are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Forward are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Forward holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forward
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
9.0%
Forward has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40