GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Slavia Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Slavia Sofia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lokomotiv Sofia are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Slavia Sofia hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the First League, while Slavia Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Slavia Sofia

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

14.2%

Slavia Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Slavia SofiaLDWWW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv SofiaLDDDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Slavia SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
11.1Attack33.3
77.8Defence41.7
22.2Form16.7
40.2Power33.8
1.27xG0.84
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