Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Skiljebo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Helges are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 48.7-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.3% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
93.5%
Model confidence
16.3%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80