Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skiljebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Skiljebo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Falu BS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Skiljebo hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Skiljebo holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skiljebo
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Skiljebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40