Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skeid · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Skeid are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Follo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Skeid hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (38.2 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Skeid holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skeid
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Skeid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80