Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skalica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Skalica are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Petržalka are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Skalica hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (60.2 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Skalica holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skalica
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Skalica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40