SKA RostovvsZenit Penza

SKA Rostov are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Zenit Penza are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SKA Rostov hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Cup, while SKA Rostov holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.