GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Kostroma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Ska-khabarovsk are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Spartak Kostroma are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Kostroma hold a 43.6-point power-rating edge (28.8 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the First League, while Spartak Kostroma holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Kostroma

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

14.2%

Spartak Kostroma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ska-khabarovskLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak KostromaDDWWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ska-khabarovskSpartak Kostroma
22.2Attack66.7
38.9Defence73.3
16.7Form73.3
28.8Power72.4
0.65xG1.88
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